V.N. Kolotov, Pang Changwei tr. by Jia Xuechi
(№.3,2016)
Abstract:In 2000 and 2002, Putin respectively proposed the concepts of turmoil arc and stable arc. In 2015, the Africa-Eurasia turmoil arc has extended from the Pacific Ocean to the Atlantic Ocean, from the East Timor to Tunisia, including not only the core area of Eurasia but also the surrounding islands. “The Spring of Arab” made the turmoil arc spread to the North African and Western Asian countries rapidly. The formation of the “ring of encirclement” in Eurasia and the territorial dispute and confrontation are also related to the resource exploit and transit transportation and trade channels. Except of the stability in China-Russia border, the oil and gas pipelines transported to China from the west and southwest Russia are in the potential turmoil area. China, Russia and the central Asian countries should control and make the Eurasian “stable arc” in joint hands, to eliminate and control the unstable factors from the source, and create the peaceful environment for the smooth butt joint between Eurasian Economic Union and China’s “Road and Belt” initiative. China and Russia can attempt to establish the cascade barrier based on the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and Collective Security Treaty Organization, so as to prevent the export and spread of the Middle East turmoil caught in the turmoil vortex.
Keywords:Eurasia; turmoil arc; integration; geopolitics